Model Predictions
| Model | Mexico City Capitanes | Santa Cruz Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.5% | 49.5% | -0.1 | ✗ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Santa Cruz Warriors +11 (118-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mexico City Capitanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Jones Garcia * | 42 | 13-26 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 18 | - |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson * | 41 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 26 | - |
| Dink Pate * | 32 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Ivan Gandia-Rosa * | 24 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Felipe Haase * | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Greg Brown III | 24 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Kyle Rose | 21 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Luis Rodriguez | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Akoldah Gak | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Kihei Clark | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Santa Cruz Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trayce Jackson-Davis * | 34 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Braxton Key * | 33 | 9-13 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Pat Spencer * | 33 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Yuri Collins * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Blake Hinson * | 27 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Donta Scott | 27 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Taran Armstrong | 22 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Javan Johnson | 22 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Alex Gil-Fernandez | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter