Model Predictions
| Model | Greensboro Swarm | Osceola Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.7% | 39.3% | -2.4 | ✗ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Osceola Magic +14 (124-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Greensboro Swarm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KJ Simpson * | 34 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Keyontae Johnson * | 34 | 7-16 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Jaylen Sims * | 32 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Garrett * | 19 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Reggie Perry * | 17 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Terrell Brown Jr. | 24 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Caleb McConnell | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Joel Soriano | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| MJ Walker | 16 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Isaih Moore | 12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Devon Higgs | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Osceola Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac McClung * | 34 | 15-26 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 27 | - |
| Jalen Slawson * | 34 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Ethan Thompson * | 33 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Alex Morales * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Myron Gardner * | 28 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Javonte Smart | 28 | 8-17 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Jarrett Culver | 27 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Chris Walker | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Xavier Pinson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter