Model Predictions
| Model | Capital City Go-Go | Raptors 905 | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.1% | 28.9% | -4.9 | ✓ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Raptors 905 -20 (94-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Capital City Go-Go
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Nowell * | 30 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| AJ Johnson * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| JT Thor * | 26 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Jalen McDaniels * | 23 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tristan Vukcevic * | 23 | 10-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Leaky Black | 25 | 7-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Mouhamadou Gueye | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Jaylen Martin | 20 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 18 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Erik Stevenson | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Chase Jeter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Raptors 905
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quincy Guerrier * | 39 | 9-19 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 26 | - |
| Charlie Brown Jr. * | 37 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Tylor Perry * | 34 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Evan Gilyard * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Eugene Omoruyi * | 27 | 5-23 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | -4 | - |
| Tyreke Key | 24 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Kennedy Chandler | 23 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Lacey James | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Loudon Love | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter