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2025-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Greensboro Swarm Delaware Blue Coats Spread Result
Elo 51.2% 48.8% -
Bradley-Terry 55.2% 44.8% -
Margin 60.5% 39.5% -2.3 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.8% 47.2% -
Efficiency 64.3% 35.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.5% 38.5% -
Log Adjusted 61.6% 38.4% -
Points Off/Def 52.2% 47.8% -

Actual: Delaware Blue Coats -11 (107-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Greensboro Swarm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keyontae Johnson * 40 12-16 1-3 2-2 4 1 1 0 3 29 16 -
KJ Simpson * 36 12-19 6-10 2-4 7 2 0 0 3 32 19 -
Jaylen Sims * 32 3-9 1-4 4-4 4 6 1 0 3 13 12 -
Marcus Garrett * 30 6-9 0-1 3-4 6 4 1 0 1 16 17 -
Reggie Perry * 15 2-8 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 4 -2 -
Joel Soriano 23 3-3 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 1 4 6 12 -
Caleb McConnell 19 1-4 0-2 1-2 6 1 1 0 0 4 8 -
MJ Walker 17 3-5 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
Terrell Brown Jr. 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 4 5 -
Isaih Moore 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 2 2 -

Delaware Blue Coats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeff Dowtin Jr. * 39 11-22 2-5 2-2 4 5 1 1 2 27 14 -
Ricky Council IV * 38 14-27 4-11 5-7 6 2 2 0 2 40 21 -
Marcus Bagley * 32 2-9 1-6 2-3 10 0 1 0 2 9 9 -
Jarron Cumberland * 28 1-6 1-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 3 1 -
Alex Reese * 27 3-12 2-9 1-1 5 0 2 1 0 9 5 -
Isaiah Mobley 18 3-5 2-3 1-2 6 2 1 1 3 10 12 -
Thierry Darlan 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
Jared Brownridge 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Patrick McCaw 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 1 -
Aminu Mohammed 9 2-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 6 6 -

* = starter