Model Predictions
| Model | Capital City Go-Go | Valley Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.0% | 43.0% | -1.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Valley Suns +8 (114-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Capital City Go-Go
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Nowell * | 33 | 8-18 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 12 | - |
| JT Thor * | 31 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Kira Lewis Jr. * | 30 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Michael Foster Jr. * | 29 | 4-12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Jalen McDaniels * | 27 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Erik Stevenson | 25 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Leaky Black | 22 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Taylor Funk | 21 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Mouhamadou Gueye | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
Valley Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Bridges * | 38 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Moses Wood * | 32 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| TyTy Washington Jr. * | 29 | 6-15 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 12 | - |
| David Stockton * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Oso Ighodaro * | 12 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Mamadi Diakite | 29 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford | 27 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Paul Watson | 27 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Nate Pierre-Louis | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tyrese Samuel | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter