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2025-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Herd Santa Cruz Warriors Spread Result
Elo 14.4% 85.6% -
Bradley-Terry 17.4% 82.6% -
Margin 17.6% 82.4% +8.5 (26.5 off)
Pythagorean 36.8% 63.2% -
Efficiency 25.7% 74.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.3% 75.7% -
Log Adjusted 24.3% 75.7% -
Points Off/Def 29.2% 70.8% -

Actual: Santa Cruz Warriors -18 (98-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Herd

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Thompson * 43 10-21 4-12 3-3 10 1 2 2 5 28 17 -
Henry Ellenson * 38 8-15 1-1 7-7 18 7 1 0 4 28 35 -
James Akinjo * 35 11-21 5-9 1-2 0 6 5 1 5 28 14 -
Ade Murkey * 31 2-10 2-5 0-1 5 1 1 1 2 6 2 -
Ibou Badji * 22 1-2 0-0 0-1 7 1 0 0 1 2 7 -
Terence Davis 23 2-6 0-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 4 1 -
Justin Moore 22 3-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
Justise Winslow 17 5-7 2-3 1-2 5 2 0 1 0 14 15 -
Jack Gohlke 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Jalen Lewis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Santa Cruz Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Javan Johnson * 36 7-17 6-13 1-1 3 6 2 0 2 22 14 -
Blake Hinson * 35 5-16 4-15 2-3 5 1 2 0 3 17 6 -
Donta Scott * 33 2-6 1-3 1-1 7 1 1 0 0 7 10 -
Yuri Collins * 30 2-12 0-3 0-1 4 7 1 0 4 4 0 -
Seth Maxwell * 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 6 5 -
Braxton Key 31 10-16 2-5 5-9 13 3 3 1 5 30 29 -
Alex Gil-Fernandez 23 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 -
Cameron Parker 17 2-6 0-1 2-3 3 5 0 0 1 8 9 -
Marcus Burk 14 1-6 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
Cheikh Mbacke Diong 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter