Model Predictions
| Model | Valley Suns | Stockton Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | +3.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stockton Kings +9 (136-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valley Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Bridges * | 36 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| David Stockton * | 30 | 9-15 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Moses Wood * | 28 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Mamadi Diakite * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| TyTy Washington Jr. * | 26 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford | 32 | 6-21 | 1-10 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 2 | - |
| Nate Pierre-Louis | 20 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Paul Watson | 19 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Tyrese Samuel | 18 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 21 | - |
Stockton Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Taylor * | 38 | 10-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Mason Jones * | 38 | 15-23 | 10-14 | 6-7 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 49 | 33 | - |
| Jon Elmore * | 32 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Jalen Thomas * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Isaiah Crawford * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Dexter Dennis | 28 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Brian Bowen II | 21 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Boogie Ellis | 15 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Chasson Randle | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| KJ Jones II | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter