Model Predictions
| Model | Greensboro Swarm | Capital City Go-Go | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.0% | 65.0% | +3.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Capital City Go-Go -9 (102-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Greensboro Swarm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Perry * | 39 | 7-18 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Jaylen Sims * | 36 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| KJ Simpson * | 36 | 11-16 | 8-10 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 29 | - |
| Keyontae Johnson * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Garrett * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| MJ Walker | 23 | 4-12 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Caleb McConnell | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Terrell Brown Jr. | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Isaih Moore | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Devon Higgs | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Capital City Go-Go
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Nowell * | 40 | 6-15 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Leaky Black * | 35 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Kira Lewis Jr. * | 34 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Tristan Vukcevic * | 31 | 8-21 | 2-11 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Colby Jones * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Taylor Funk | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jaylen Martin | 19 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Erik Stevenson | 17 | 1-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Michael Foster Jr. | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
* = starter