Model Predictions
| Model | Raptors 905 | Noblesville Boom | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | +2.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Noblesville Boom +10 (122-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Raptors 905
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Rhoden * | 39 | 10-23 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Evan Gilyard * | 37 | 6-19 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Frank Kaminsky * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Quincy Guerrier * | 31 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tyreke Key * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Charlie Brown Jr. | 31 | 8-16 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Tylor Perry | 27 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Kennedy Chandler | 19 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
Noblesville Boom
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quenton Jackson * | 44 | 9-18 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 26 | - |
| Jarace Walker * | 42 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 27 | - |
| RayJ Dennis * | 41 | 8-19 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Enrique Freeman * | 34 | 14-19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 25 | - |
| Johnny Furphy * | 28 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Mangas | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Jahlil Okafor | 15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Dakota Mathias | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter