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2025-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Raptors 905 Wisconsin Herd Spread Result
Elo 58.9% 41.1% -
Bradley-Terry 58.3% 41.7% -
Margin 68.4% 31.6% -4.2 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 55.9% 44.1% -
Efficiency 67.1% 32.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.0% 32.0% -
Log Adjusted 68.1% 31.9% -
Points Off/Def 56.1% 43.9% -

Actual: Wisconsin Herd +2 (104-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Raptors 905

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jared Rhoden * 41 8-15 2-4 3-6 11 1 1 2 2 22 20 -
Eugene Omoruyi * 38 7-14 1-4 1-1 8 4 1 1 5 17 12 -
Frank Kaminsky * 36 8-21 1-5 1-1 8 7 1 0 1 18 12 -
Evan Gilyard * 29 4-7 1-2 4-5 1 7 0 0 2 14 13 -
Tyreke Key * 25 4-6 2-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 10 5 -
Charlie Brown Jr. 26 4-5 1-1 0-1 4 3 0 2 1 9 12 -
Quincy Guerrier 19 2-7 0-1 1-1 10 1 1 0 2 6 9 -
Kennedy Chandler 17 2-5 0-0 1-2 0 5 0 0 0 6 6 -
Tylor Perry 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Wisconsin Herd

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Henry Ellenson * 43 10-21 2-4 5-5 13 2 0 0 2 30 22 -
Stephen Thompson * 43 2-12 2-5 1-2 7 2 2 2 1 8 8 -
James Akinjo * 40 9-20 1-6 0-0 5 14 2 0 2 19 18 -
Ibou Badji * 31 5-5 0-0 1-1 3 0 1 6 1 12 16 -
Ade Murkey * 26 5-12 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 2 1 10 4 -
Justin Moore 27 3-5 1-3 1-1 6 0 0 0 1 9 9 -
Justise Winslow 17 4-11 4-7 2-3 3 1 2 0 0 16 11 -
Jack Gohlke 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jalen Lewis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter