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2025-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Raptors 905 Wisconsin Herd Spread Result
Elo 58.9% 41.1% -
Bradley-Terry 58.3% 41.7% -
Margin 68.4% 31.6% -4.2 (18.2 off)
Pythagorean 55.9% 44.1% -
Efficiency 67.1% 32.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.0% 32.0% -
Log Adjusted 68.1% 31.9% -
Points Off/Def 56.1% 43.9% -

Actual: Wisconsin Herd +14 (118-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Raptors 905

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Frank Kaminsky * 35 6-13 2-7 0-1 10 3 0 0 0 14 14 -
Jared Rhoden * 34 8-17 0-5 2-2 9 1 0 0 2 20 11 -
Eugene Omoruyi * 32 7-10 1-4 4-7 6 5 1 0 5 23 20 -
Evan Gilyard * 30 5-7 2-3 0-0 0 9 0 0 1 12 13 -
A.J. Lawson * 28 6-10 1-4 1-1 2 4 1 1 1 15 12 -
Quincy Guerrier 20 2-5 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
Charlie Brown Jr. 19 2-7 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 5 5 -
Kennedy Chandler 17 4-9 1-2 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 9 4 -
Tyreke Key 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Tylor Perry 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wisconsin Herd

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Thompson * 45 8-15 3-6 2-3 9 6 0 0 1 22 21 -
James Akinjo * 41 7-16 2-4 3-3 6 11 1 0 5 20 17 -
Henry Ellenson * 40 8-14 2-3 2-2 8 7 0 2 5 21 19 -
Stanley Umude * 29 11-17 6-9 2-3 3 3 0 0 1 33 21 -
Ibou Badji * 25 5-8 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 4 1 10 13 -
Ade Murkey 26 4-11 2-7 0-1 3 3 2 1 0 10 8 -
Justin Moore 22 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 2 4 -
Jack Gohlke 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter