Model Predictions
| Model | Greensboro Swarm | Capital City Go-Go | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.0% | 65.0% | +3.4 | ✗ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Capital City Go-Go -7 (101-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Greensboro Swarm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Sims * | 39 | 3-15 | 0-8 | 10-11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Keyontae Johnson * | 38 | 11-20 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 24 | - |
| MJ Walker * | 34 | 2-9 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Garrett * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Reggie Perry * | 28 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Terrell Brown Jr. | 34 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Joel Soriano | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Devon Higgs | 14 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
Capital City Go-Go
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Nowell * | 33 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| AJ Johnson * | 31 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Colby Jones * | 31 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Michael Foster Jr. * | 27 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Leaky Black * | 25 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Taylor Funk | 27 | 7-11 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Jaylen Martin | 17 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| John Butler Jr. | 17 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 16 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Erik Stevenson | 11 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
* = starter