Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Spurs | Mexico City Capitanes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.5% | 30.5% | -4.5 | ✓ (22.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mexico City Capitanes -27 (88-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Austin Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Flynn * | 33 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Harrison Ingram * | 32 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Jamaree Bouyea * | 32 | 8-15 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| David Duke Jr. * | 31 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Osayi Osifo * | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Ibrahima Diallo | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Jameer Nelson Jr. | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Rode | 19 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Luke Avdalovic | 14 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Tray Jackson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Parker Van Dyke | 3 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
Mexico City Capitanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Rose * | 32 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson * | 30 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Dink Pate * | 28 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Greg Brown III * | 23 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Luis Rodriguez * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| David Jones Garcia | 37 | 8-19 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Ivan Gandia-Rosa | 28 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Felipe Haase | 28 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Rodrigo Dominguez | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kihei Clark | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter