Model Predictions
| Model | Mexico City Capitanes | Greensboro Swarm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.7% | 65.3% | +3.5 | ✓ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Greensboro Swarm +18 (89-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mexico City Capitanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dink Pate * | 41 | 5-16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Luis Rodriguez * | 40 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Rose * | 31 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Greg Brown III * | 29 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Kihei Clark * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 42 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Devine Eke | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Garrett Denbow | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Greensboro Swarm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Sims * | 40 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Marcus Garrett * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Keyontae Johnson * | 30 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| MJ Walker * | 30 | 1-12 | 1-11 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 | - |
| Isaih Moore * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Terrell Brown Jr. | 34 | 8-17 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Devon Higgs | 23 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Will Brown | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Chris Martin | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter