Model Predictions
| Model | Mexico City Capitanes | Greensboro Swarm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.7% | 65.3% | +3.5 | ✓ (40.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Greensboro Swarm +44 (129-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mexico City Capitanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Rodriguez * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Dink Pate * | 33 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Rose * | 32 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Greg Brown III * | 30 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Kihei Clark * | 29 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 32 | 7-19 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Garrett Denbow | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Rodrigo Dominguez | 15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Devine Eke | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
Greensboro Swarm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Garrett * | 35 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| MJ Walker * | 32 | 10-17 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 22 | - |
| Keyontae Johnson * | 31 | 15-24 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 16 | - |
| Jaylen Sims * | 31 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Isaih Moore * | 28 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 32 | - |
| Terrell Brown Jr. | 31 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | - |
| Devon Higgs | 22 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Will Brown | 19 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Chris Martin | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter