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2025-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Maine Celtics Noblesville Boom Spread Result
Elo 39.9% 60.1% -
Bradley-Terry 45.1% 54.9% -
Margin 51.1% 48.9% -0.3 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.0% 51.0% -
Efficiency 53.1% 46.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.6% 45.4% -
Log Adjusted 54.7% 45.3% -
Points Off/Def 47.4% 52.6% -

Actual: Noblesville Boom -7 (97-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
JD Davison * 35 11-24 1-4 2-2 8 5 3 0 4 26 14 -
DJ Rodman * 26 2-8 0-2 1-2 6 2 0 1 0 6 7 -
Anton Watson * 25 3-8 1-3 1-1 3 0 0 0 3 9 1 -
James Banks III * 17 2-2 0-0 1-1 7 3 1 3 3 6 15 -
Drew Peterson * 14 2-4 0-2 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 8 8 -
Hason Ward 28 4-4 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 4 1 8 18 -
Tristan Enaruna 24 5-9 2-3 2-2 5 1 1 1 3 15 11 -
Jay Scrubb 19 6-11 3-6 3-4 3 1 1 1 0 19 14 -
Kameron Warrens 18 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
Jordan Schakel 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 0 -2 -
Donald Carey 12 2-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 0 -

Noblesville Boom

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RayJ Dennis * 41 6-17 4-8 0-0 7 5 3 0 5 16 9 -
Quenton Jackson * 40 7-15 0-1 6-7 3 3 1 0 2 25 15 -
Enrique Freeman * 33 7-15 2-4 1-5 8 3 2 3 2 18 17 -
Johnny Furphy * 26 3-6 1-3 1-1 4 1 1 0 1 8 7 -
Cameron McGriff * 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -4 -
Kyle Mangas 28 4-8 4-5 0-0 3 2 0 1 3 12 7 -
Josiah-Jordan James 20 0-5 0-4 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
Dakota Mathias 20 5-10 3-6 1-1 2 4 2 0 0 14 12 -
Ishmael Lane 14 0-5 0-0 2-3 7 2 0 0 0 4 8 -

* = starter