Model Predictions
| Model | Rio Grande Valley Vipers | Valley Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | +0.8 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valley Suns +14 (137-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markquis Nowell * | 39 | 12-22 | 7-16 | 4-4 | 6 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 34 | - |
| Jack McVeigh * | 37 | 6-12 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Jermaine Samuels Jr. * | 36 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 21 | - |
| Kevin Cross, Jr. * | 32 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 19 | - |
| John Knight III * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jeremy Jones | 24 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Teddy Allen | 22 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | -1 | - |
| Josh Reaves | 14 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Jamal Bieniemy | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Robert Ford | 8 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Valley Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Bridges * | 35 | 9-16 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Collin Gillespie * | 35 | 8-24 | 0-7 | 9-9 | 9 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 33 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford * | 31 | 9-16 | 3-9 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Moses Wood * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Mamadi Diakite * | 28 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Paul Watson | 24 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Tyrese Samuel | 19 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| David Stockton | 16 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Olin Carter III | 15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Cassius Stanley | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter