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2025-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Mexico City Capitanes Memphis Hustle Spread Result
Elo 58.4% 41.6% -
Bradley-Terry 59.4% 40.6% -
Margin 53.1% 46.9% -0.7 (17.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.0% 48.0% -
Efficiency 61.1% 38.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.4% 42.6% -
Log Adjusted 57.3% 42.7% -
Points Off/Def 48.1% 51.9% -

Actual: Memphis Hustle +17 (129-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mexico City Capitanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 38 8-22 5-15 4-6 5 3 2 0 4 28 12 -
Davon Reed * 37 4-9 1-3 1-1 3 3 2 1 2 10 8 -
Greg Brown III * 31 9-14 4-8 1-3 10 3 0 3 2 24 24 -
Dink Pate * 30 6-10 1-3 0-0 3 8 0 0 2 13 12 -
Kyle Rose * 22 2-3 1-2 0-1 0 1 0 1 1 5 3 -
David Jones Garcia 21 5-12 3-6 2-2 5 3 0 0 2 17 11 -
Luis Rodriguez 18 0-4 0-2 1-1 2 1 2 0 1 2 2 -
Felipe Haase 15 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 3 0 1 1 6 5 -
Kihei Clark 15 3-3 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 7 5 -
Ivan Gandia-Rosa 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
Loudon Love 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Memphis Hustle

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DJ Steward * 37 7-16 1-4 3-3 10 12 1 0 4 20 23 -
Miles Norris * 34 4-13 3-10 1-2 5 2 2 1 0 13 10 -
Nate Hinton * 32 6-10 0-2 2-4 10 4 0 0 4 16 16 -
Armando Bacot * 31 13-23 1-3 5-6 14 2 1 0 1 35 28 -
Maozinha Pereira * 22 4-8 1-4 0-0 8 3 1 0 0 9 13 -
David Johnson 29 7-13 4-10 1-1 4 5 1 0 4 20 13 -
Race Thompson 23 5-10 0-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 10 7 -
Kamani Johnson 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 4 -
Charles Matthews 13 3-7 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 6 2 -

* = starter