Model Predictions
| Model | Greensboro Swarm | Iowa Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.5% | 45.5% | -1.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Iowa Wolves -10 (104-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Greensboro Swarm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Walker * | 42 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Jaylen Sims * | 40 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Keyontae Johnson * | 37 | 11-16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Reggie Perry * | 33 | 8-18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Marcus Garrett * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Terrell Brown Jr. | 31 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| RaeQuan Battle | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Joel Soriano | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Isaih Moore | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Iowa Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Keels * | 39 | 7-19 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Nojel Eastern * | 36 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Skylar Mays * | 34 | 0-12 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Babacar Sane * | 30 | 7-18 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Martez Brown * | 22 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| El Ellis | 32 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| William Baker | 23 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Sy Chatman | 13 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Walter Ellis | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter