Model Predictions
| Model | Mexico City Capitanes | Rio Grande Valley Vipers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.0% | 63.0% | +2.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rio Grande Valley Vipers +5 (115-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mexico City Capitanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Toscano-Anderson * | 39 | 7-19 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Davon Reed * | 33 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Felipe Haase * | 30 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Kyle Rose * | 19 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Dink Pate * | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Luis Rodriguez | 27 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| David Jones Garcia | 24 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Ivan Gandia-Rosa | 18 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Greg Brown III | 17 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Kihei Clark | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markquis Nowell * | 38 | 10-17 | 5-12 | 3-3 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 25 | - |
| N'Faly Dante * | 37 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Jermaine Samuels Jr. * | 36 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Jack McVeigh * | 34 | 5-18 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | - |
| John Knight III * | 24 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Josh Reaves | 23 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Teddy Allen | 13 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Cross, Jr. | 11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jeremy Jones | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Robert Ford | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter