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2025-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Herd College Park Skyhawks Spread Result
Elo 29.4% 70.6% -
Bradley-Terry 19.4% 80.6% -
Margin 10.3% 89.7% +11.9 (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 29.9% 70.1% -
Efficiency 10.3% 89.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.3% 85.7% -
Log Adjusted 14.3% 85.7% -
Points Off/Def 23.0% 77.0% -

Actual: College Park Skyhawks +6 (107-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Herd

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Henry Ellenson * 39 9-18 3-7 1-1 9 5 0 1 4 23 16 -
Stanley Umude * 30 4-12 2-8 4-4 5 3 1 0 3 15 9 -
James Akinjo * 28 2-10 1-3 0-0 2 5 2 0 0 5 4 -
Terence Davis * 28 3-8 1-5 1-1 3 2 1 2 3 9 6 -
Ibou Badji * 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 4 2 2 7 -
Tyler Smith 28 2-8 2-4 2-2 11 2 0 1 2 10 14 -
Chris Livingston 28 9-17 2-7 4-4 10 0 1 0 2 26 18 -
Stephen Thompson 24 3-7 1-4 0-1 4 4 0 0 1 7 7 -
Ade Murkey 14 1-2 0-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -

College Park Skyhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Daeqwon Plowden * 37 2-10 2-8 3-4 8 1 4 0 1 10 12 -
Tony Bradley * 31 7-10 0-0 0-0 16 2 1 0 2 14 21 -
Kevon Harris * 30 7-16 4-7 0-2 7 6 2 0 2 18 15 -
Jordan Bowden * 30 4-12 2-8 0-1 2 0 2 0 0 10 2 -
Dwight Murray, Jr. * 23 5-13 1-6 1-1 2 8 1 0 2 12 8 -
Nikola Djurisic 26 5-11 1-5 1-1 2 4 0 0 4 13 4 -
Jarkel Joiner 24 7-12 6-11 2-2 3 4 0 0 1 23 17 -
Joey Hauser 22 1-6 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Emmitt Matthews, Jr. 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 5 -

* = starter