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2025-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Austin Spurs Santa Cruz Warriors Spread Result
Elo 40.1% 59.9% -
Bradley-Terry 39.0% 61.0% -
Margin 75.6% 24.4% -6.2 (22.2 off)
Pythagorean 57.8% 42.2% -
Efficiency 77.9% 22.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.4% 27.6% -
Log Adjusted 72.5% 27.5% -
Points Off/Def 61.6% 38.4% -

Actual: Santa Cruz Warriors +16 (119-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malachi Flynn * 41 10-24 4-14 3-3 7 6 0 0 1 29 17 -
Jamaree Bouyea * 39 8-18 2-5 1-1 3 5 2 1 5 20 8 -
Harrison Ingram * 34 2-11 2-8 0-1 9 4 1 5 3 6 11 -
Osayi Osifo * 20 2-4 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 0 1 6 9 -
David Duke Jr. * 16 4-9 0-3 1-2 3 1 0 0 2 10 3 -
Quinton Rose 28 4-9 2-4 1-1 2 2 4 0 0 12 11 -
Kyle Rode 22 3-8 1-6 1-1 2 1 0 0 0 9 4 -
Ibrahima Diallo 15 3-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 3 0 8 13 -
Jameer Nelson Jr. 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 0 1 -
Luke Avdalovic 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Parker Van Dyke 3 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
Tray Jackson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Santa Cruz Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Javan Johnson * 36 10-19 6-10 1-2 5 1 1 0 4 28 12 -
Blake Hinson * 34 11-20 7-9 0-1 11 1 0 0 3 29 18 -
Yuri Collins * 33 9-16 1-2 0-0 8 13 1 0 4 19 21 -
Donta Scott * 32 6-11 2-2 0-0 7 1 1 1 1 14 12 -
Seth Maxwell * 23 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 0 6 10 -
Marcus Burk 28 4-9 0-3 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 13 7 -
Cameron Parker 25 2-8 0-2 2-2 2 8 0 0 1 8 9 -
Cheikh Mbacke Diong 22 1-4 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 1 0 2 9 -
Alex Gil-Fernandez 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter