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2025-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Wolves Memphis Hustle Spread Result
Elo 43.9% 56.1% -
Bradley-Terry 62.8% 37.2% -
Margin 50.2% 49.8% -0.0 (22.0 off)
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% -
Efficiency 55.3% 44.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.1% 46.9% -
Log Adjusted 53.0% 47.0% -
Points Off/Def 46.2% 53.8% -

Actual: Memphis Hustle +22 (142-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevor Keels * 38 9-18 6-14 1-2 4 3 0 0 5 26 10 -
El Ellis * 36 7-15 2-7 2-2 6 10 0 0 4 19 16 -
Nojel Eastern * 33 8-17 4-9 2-2 7 2 1 0 1 22 14 -
Martez Brown * 30 4-6 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 2 1 10 11 -
Walter Ellis * 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
Skylar Mays 36 7-19 4-14 1-1 2 4 1 0 0 20 8 -
Babacar Sane 25 4-6 2-4 0-0 5 1 0 1 3 10 8 -
Sy Chatman 16 3-6 0-2 3-3 2 0 1 1 1 11 8 -
William Baker 13 1-4 0-1 0-1 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -

Memphis Hustle

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DJ Steward * 32 6-10 2-5 4-4 6 14 1 0 0 22 33 -
Miles Norris * 31 10-16 5-10 1-1 6 3 1 1 1 26 20 -
Malachi Smith * 30 6-8 2-3 1-1 2 4 0 0 2 15 11 -
Nate Hinton * 28 6-10 2-4 1-2 8 5 2 0 3 16 18 -
Armando Bacot * 26 5-11 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 1 5 11 2 -
David Johnson 25 6-8 4-5 1-1 5 7 0 2 0 18 24 -
Race Thompson 18 4-12 1-4 0-0 4 2 0 2 0 9 5 -
Maozinha Pereira 18 6-10 0-4 1-2 4 0 1 2 1 14 10 -
Kamani Johnson 14 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 2 3 0 1 5 8 -
Charles Matthews 13 3-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 6 5 -

* = starter