Model Predictions
| Model | Raptors 905 | Noblesville Boom | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | +2.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Noblesville Boom +4 (116-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Raptors 905
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Rhoden * | 39 | 8-17 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Frank Kaminsky * | 33 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| A.J. Lawson * | 33 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Eugene Omoruyi * | 29 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Evan Gilyard * | 29 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Tyreke Key | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ulrich Chomche | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Kennedy Chandler | 18 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Quincy Guerrier | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Tylor Perry | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Noblesville Boom
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakota Mathias * | 45 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Quenton Jackson * | 43 | 6-18 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Jahlil Okafor * | 41 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Cameron McGriff * | 33 | 8-14 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| De'Vion Harmon * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Obadiah Noel | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Stephan Hicks | 21 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Ishmael Lane | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter