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2025-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Herd Noblesville Boom Spread Result
Elo 21.3% 78.7% -
Bradley-Terry 23.5% 76.5% -
Margin 18.0% 82.0% +8.3 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 33.5% 66.5% -
Efficiency 18.6% 81.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.5% 76.5% -
Log Adjusted 23.5% 76.5% -
Points Off/Def 29.2% 70.8% -

Actual: Noblesville Boom +20 (130-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Herd

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Henry Ellenson * 35 4-16 2-5 4-4 15 3 0 0 1 18 19 -
James Akinjo * 35 8-19 3-8 1-1 3 6 0 0 2 21 9 -
Terence Davis * 31 10-15 6-9 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 26 13 -
Stanley Umude * 29 5-13 1-4 2-4 7 2 1 1 1 14 11 -
Ibou Badji * 28 3-5 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 3 1 6 9 -
Stephen Thompson 23 4-9 2-5 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 12 5 -
Justin Moore 22 4-7 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 9 4 -
Ade Murkey 16 0-2 0-1 1-1 3 3 0 0 2 2 4 -
Jack Gohlke 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Jalen Lewis 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 4 -

Noblesville Boom

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dakota Mathias * 41 3-12 1-8 1-1 5 8 1 0 0 8 10 -
Quenton Jackson * 40 14-21 4-5 1-1 4 9 1 1 0 34 28 -
Jahlil Okafor * 35 12-12 1-1 3-5 9 1 0 0 4 30 24 -
Kyle Mangas * 32 10-16 4-6 0-1 2 7 0 2 2 24 17 -
Cameron McGriff * 31 1-9 1-6 0-0 10 2 0 1 3 3 4 -
De'Vion Harmon 24 2-7 0-3 1-2 6 6 1 0 1 6 11 -
Stephan Hicks 17 4-4 2-2 2-2 7 2 2 0 0 14 21 -
Ishmael Lane 12 4-6 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
Keisei Tominaga 3 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Obadiah Noel 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter