Model Predictions
| Model | Stockton Kings | Mexico City Capitanes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.9% | 44.1% | -1.3 | ✗ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mexico City Capitanes +10 (106-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stockton Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Taylor * | 34 | 9-19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Colby Jones * | 32 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Isaiah Crawford * | 31 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jon Elmore * | 29 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Gabe Levin * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Dexter Dennis | 28 | 6-17 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 0 | - |
| Chasson Randle | 22 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Boogie Ellis | 22 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Brian Bowen II | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
Mexico City Capitanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davon Reed * | 36 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson * | 34 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Kyle Rose * | 28 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Greg Brown III * | 27 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Dink Pate * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| David Jones Garcia | 28 | 10-15 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Ivan Gandia-Rosa | 22 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Felipe Haase | 20 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Luis Rodriguez | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter