Model Predictions
| Model | Capital City Go-Go | Greensboro Swarm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.2% | 48.8% | -0.3 | ✗ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Greensboro Swarm +7 (105-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Capital City Go-Go
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Nowell * | 39 | 8-23 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Ruben Nembhard Jr. * | 34 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Michael Foster Jr. * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Jalen McDaniels * | 26 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 12 | - |
| John Butler Jr. * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Taylor Funk | 33 | 6-11 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Leaky Black | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Erik Stevenson | 18 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Chase Jeter | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Greensboro Swarm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrell Brown Jr. * | 41 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 23 | - |
| Caleb McConnell * | 35 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Reggie Perry * | 33 | 10-22 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Jaylen Sims * | 31 | 2-14 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| MJ Walker * | 29 | 4-11 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Keyontae Johnson | 30 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 6 | - |
| RaeQuan Battle | 23 | 6-8 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Joel Soriano | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Isaih Moore | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter