🐻⬇️🏀

@
2025-01-30

Model Predictions

Model College Park Skyhawks Mexico City Capitanes Spread Result
Elo 28.4% 71.6% -
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% -
Margin 50.7% 49.3% -0.2 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% -
Efficiency 54.1% 45.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.6% 48.4% -
Log Adjusted 51.6% 48.4% -
Points Off/Def 46.7% 53.3% -

Actual: Mexico City Capitanes +8 (94-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

College Park Skyhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joey Hauser * 42 5-11 3-7 1-1 9 1 3 0 4 15 13 -
Jordan Bowden * 39 10-23 2-11 3-5 3 3 0 0 0 26 9 -
Jarkel Joiner * 36 3-12 2-5 0-1 6 3 1 1 1 8 6 -
Nikola Djurisic * 29 2-14 0-4 0-0 5 3 0 1 4 4 -5 -
Emmitt Matthews, Jr. * 29 5-12 0-4 0-1 12 1 0 0 1 10 10 -
Dwight Murray, Jr. 37 3-14 0-5 1-1 11 7 0 0 2 7 9 -
Tony Bradley 24 7-11 0-0 1-3 9 1 0 2 1 16 16 -

Mexico City Capitanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 35 1-9 0-5 0-3 11 2 2 1 6 2 3 -
Dink Pate * 33 3-10 0-4 1-2 7 2 0 0 1 8 6 -
Davon Reed * 33 4-9 2-5 1-1 3 3 1 0 2 12 8 -
Greg Brown III * 28 8-12 3-5 2-2 5 0 0 2 4 21 12 -
Kyle Rose * 18 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 3 2 1 2 2 4 -
David Jones Garcia 30 10-17 3-5 5-6 9 3 4 1 1 30 29 -
Ivan Gandia-Rosa 21 4-5 1-2 0-0 4 3 0 1 0 9 12 -
Luis Rodriguez 16 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
Felipe Haase 12 1-4 1-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 3 3 -
Loudon Love 9 1-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -

* = starter