Model Predictions
| Model | Birmingham Squadron | Raptors 905 | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | β |
| Margin | 24.7% | 75.3% | +6.1 | β (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | β |
Actual: Raptors 905 +10 (122-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Birmingham Squadron
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Reeves * | 38 | 9-15 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Lester Quinones * | 35 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Jalen Crutcher * | 35 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Keion Brooks Jr. * | 31 | 9-15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ * | 28 | 10-15 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Izaiah Brockington | 25 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| E.J. Montgomery | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Trhae Mitchell | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Elfrid Payton | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
Raptors 905
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Mogbo * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Jamison Battle * | 31 | 8-11 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| A.J. Lawson * | 29 | 11-19 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 19 | - |
| Evan Gilyard * | 25 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Frank Kaminsky * | 24 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Ulrich Chomche | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Eugene Omoruyi | 24 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Jared Rhoden | 21 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Kennedy Chandler | 21 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
* = starter