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2025-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Wolves Maine Celtics Spread Result
Elo 32.8% 67.2% -
Bradley-Terry 46.5% 53.5% -
Margin 40.1% 59.9% +2.2 (27.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Efficiency 42.3% 57.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.8% 56.2% -
Log Adjusted 43.8% 56.2% -
Points Off/Def 41.7% 58.3% -

Actual: Maine Celtics +30 (125-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevor Keels * 32 3-15 0-4 2-2 0 3 3 1 4 10 -2 -
Tristen Newton * 29 5-9 2-5 3-4 6 2 1 0 5 16 11 -
Nojel Eastern * 28 5-11 1-4 2-3 3 3 4 0 2 15 12 -
Walter Ellis * 26 4-9 2-6 1-1 2 1 1 0 1 11 5 -
Martez Brown * 18 2-3 0-0 1-1 7 1 1 0 1 6 11 -
El Ellis 31 4-11 4-8 0-0 2 6 0 0 2 12 7 -
William Baker 21 1-3 1-2 1-1 5 1 0 2 2 5 8 -
Jaedon LeDee 21 2-6 0-2 2-2 6 2 2 0 0 8 12 -
Sy Chatman 16 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Kok Yat 10 4-8 2-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 10 5 -

Maine Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Baylor Scheierman * 32 7-12 6-8 0-1 7 6 3 0 2 20 22 -
DJ Rodman * 23 5-6 3-3 1-2 6 1 2 1 2 14 16 -
JD Davison * 23 6-9 1-3 1-1 2 6 2 0 3 15 13 -
Anton Watson * 22 6-9 2-3 1-1 1 2 1 0 1 16 10 -
James Banks III * 20 2-2 0-0 1-1 5 3 0 3 2 6 13 -
Tristan Enaruna 25 6-11 0-3 1-2 7 3 0 1 1 14 13 -
Jawun Evans 24 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 6 0 0 0 2 9 -
Jay Scrubb 20 7-11 3-6 1-3 2 3 4 1 1 19 17 -
Hason Ward 15 2-5 0-0 0-2 8 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
Jordan Schakel 15 2-5 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 6 5 -
Kavion Pippen 5 1-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 1 2 3 1 -
Donald Carey 5 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
Kameron Warrens 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter