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2025-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Capital City Go-Go Wisconsin Herd Spread Result
Elo 78.7% 21.3% -
Bradley-Terry 79.9% 20.1% -
Margin 87.6% 12.4% -10.8 (35.2 off)
Pythagorean 65.8% 34.2% -
Efficiency 86.0% 14.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.0% 17.0% -
Log Adjusted 83.1% 16.9% -
Points Off/Def 70.6% 29.4% -

Actual: Wisconsin Herd -46 (98-144). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Capital City Go-Go

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ruben Nembhard Jr. * 32 8-12 2-3 4-4 4 8 1 0 1 25 25 -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. * 29 11-17 6-10 0-0 7 1 1 0 0 28 20 -
Jalen McDaniels * 29 1-10 0-4 4-4 12 4 0 1 1 8 14 -
Michael Foster Jr. * 25 6-8 0-0 2-3 7 6 2 4 0 16 27 -
Jaylen Nowell * 24 4-12 1-3 1-1 3 3 0 1 0 11 6 -
Taylor Funk 27 7-9 4-6 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 18 14 -
John Butler Jr. 23 3-5 3-5 1-1 3 0 1 1 0 12 12 -
Leaky Black 21 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 3 4 0 0 2 9 -
Erik Stevenson 20 7-13 3-7 2-2 2 6 3 0 1 20 17 -
Chase Jeter 5 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 2 1 4 6 -

Wisconsin Herd

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
AJ Johnson * 28 6-15 2-4 1-2 3 3 1 0 1 15 6 -
Henry Ellenson * 27 7-13 1-2 3-4 7 2 0 0 3 20 13 -
Terence Davis * 21 2-8 2-7 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 6 1 -
Ibou Badji * 21 5-5 0-0 0-1 8 0 0 3 1 10 15 -
James Akinjo * 21 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 4 2 1 1 0 8 -
Chris Livingston 25 3-11 0-3 2-5 6 3 0 0 3 10 5 -
Justin Moore 20 3-7 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 9 3 -
Stephen Thompson 17 2-6 1-4 1-1 2 2 0 0 0 7 5 -
Ade Murkey 16 4-8 4-8 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 12 4 -
Liam Robbins 15 2-5 1-2 1-1 1 0 0 1 1 7 3 -
Jack Gohlke 12 0-4 0-4 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 0 1 -
Jalen Lewis 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 4 -

* = starter