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2025-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Valley Suns Iowa Wolves Spread Result
Elo 49.5% 50.5% -
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% -
Margin 48.7% 51.3% +0.3 (24.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.5% 49.5% -
Log Adjusted 50.4% 49.6% -
Points Off/Def 47.0% 53.0% -

Actual: Iowa Wolves -24 (83-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Valley Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Bridges * 31 4-12 1-7 1-1 9 3 2 0 2 11 11 -
TyTy Washington Jr. * 28 3-6 0-1 1-1 4 8 0 0 0 8 14 -
Moses Wood * 27 3-8 3-8 1-1 6 0 1 2 0 10 11 -
Tyrese Samuel * 25 8-9 1-1 3-4 6 2 1 1 2 23 22 -
Jaden Shackelford * 24 7-16 5-12 1-1 0 0 1 0 2 21 4 -
Paul Watson 28 4-11 4-9 1-1 4 2 2 0 4 14 7 -
Cassius Stanley 26 4-8 1-3 1-1 4 3 0 2 1 11 11 -
Kaleb Johnson 22 1-1 0-0 0-1 7 2 2 1 2 2 11 -
Eric Washington 19 1-7 0-5 0-0 3 8 1 0 2 2 5 -
Olin Carter III 6 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 1 -

Iowa Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tristen Newton * 43 13-26 5-11 1-1 6 7 5 1 9 32 16 -
El Ellis * 38 8-16 1-5 1-2 4 6 1 0 2 18 11 -
Trevor Keels * 25 4-11 2-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 10 2 -
Jaedon LeDee * 20 3-9 0-4 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
Sy Chatman * 19 0-5 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 2 3 0 1 -
Martez Brown 37 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 8 10 -
Walter Ellis 25 2-6 1-5 0-1 2 2 1 2 3 5 3 -
Kok Yat 22 2-6 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 0 -
William Baker 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter