Model Predictions
| Model | Valley Suns | Iowa Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.7% | 51.3% | +0.3 | ✗ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Iowa Wolves -9 (110-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valley Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TyTy Washington Jr. * | 37 | 8-21 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Jalen Bridges * | 32 | 8-22 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | - |
| Moses Wood * | 32 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Tyrese Samuel * | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| David Stockton * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford | 26 | 7-12 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Cassius Stanley | 25 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Paul Watson | 19 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Kaleb Johnson | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
Iowa Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Ellis * | 42 | 6-20 | 2-11 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Tristen Newton * | 41 | 4-17 | 0-7 | 6-7 | 10 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Walter Ellis * | 34 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jesse Edwards * | 30 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 24 | - |
| Jaedon LeDee * | 24 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Sy Chatman | 23 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Martez Brown | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Kok Yat | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| William Baker | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter