Model Predictions
| Model | Birmingham Squadron | Greensboro Swarm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 12.3% | 87.7% | +10.8 | ✗ (30.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Greensboro Swarm -20 (98-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Birmingham Squadron
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Crutcher * | 40 | 9-14 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Antonio Reeves * | 39 | 9-15 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Lester Quinones * | 33 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Josh Oduro * | 32 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Keion Brooks Jr. * | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Trhae Mitchell | 28 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Izaiah Brockington | 27 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Elfrid Payton | 16 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| E.J. Montgomery | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ike Anigbogu | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Greensboro Swarm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KJ Simpson * | 35 | 10-16 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Tidjane Salaün * | 33 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Keyontae Johnson * | 32 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Reggie Perry * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Garrett * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jaylen Sims | 22 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Joel Soriano | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| MJ Walker | 17 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Caleb McConnell | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Terrell Brown Jr. | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter