Model Predictions
| Model | Noblesville Boom | Valley Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | +4.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valley Suns +3 (117-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Noblesville Boom
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakota Mathias * | 44 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Kyle Mangas * | 36 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Jahlil Okafor * | 30 | 10-16 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Josiah-Jordan James * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Obadiah Noel * | 23 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Cameron McGriff | 33 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| De'Vion Harmon | 26 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Ishmael Lane | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
Valley Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TyTy Washington Jr. * | 35 | 10-14 | 6-6 | 2-4 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 22 | - |
| David Stockton * | 35 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Moses Wood * | 33 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Mamadi Diakite * | 30 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Jalen Bridges * | 30 | 8-12 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford | 25 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Paul Watson | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tyrese Samuel | 17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Cassius Stanley | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter