Model Predictions
| Model | Valley Suns | Raptors 905 | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✗ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Raptors 905 +8 (120-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valley Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Bridges * | 35 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 18 | - |
| TyTy Washington Jr. * | 34 | 7-18 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 4 | - |
| David Stockton * | 33 | 10-15 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 28 | - |
| Moses Wood * | 32 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Tyrese Samuel * | 28 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford | 27 | 8-17 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Paul Watson | 18 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Kaleb Johnson | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Cassius Stanley | 14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
Raptors 905
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Kobe Walter * | 34 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Jamison Battle * | 32 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jonathan Mogbo * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Frank Kaminsky * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Evan Gilyard * | 12 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Ulrich Chomche | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | - |
| A.J. Lawson | 27 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Jared Rhoden | 20 | 8-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Eugene Omoruyi | 17 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Kennedy Chandler | 16 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
* = starter