Model Predictions
| Model | Greensboro Swarm | Iowa Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.5% | 45.5% | -1.0 | ✗ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Wolves +5 (100-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Greensboro Swarm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Wong * | 37 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Keyontae Johnson * | 27 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Marcus Garrett * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Caleb McConnell * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Reggie Perry * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jaylen Sims | 30 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| MJ Walker | 21 | 1-8 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Joel Soriano | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Terrell Brown Jr. | 11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| RaeQuan Battle | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Iowa Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaedon LeDee * | 43 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Nojel Eastern * | 42 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Walter Ellis * | 34 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Rob Dillingham * | 30 | 6-24 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 0 | - |
| Jesse Edwards * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| El Ellis | 26 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Martez Brown | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Kok Yat | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Sy Chatman | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| William Baker | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter