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2025-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Santa Cruz Warriors Valley Suns Spread Result
Elo 56.1% 43.9% -
Bradley-Terry 41.3% 58.7% -
Margin 33.1% 66.9% +3.9 (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% -
Efficiency 37.5% 62.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.1% 61.9% -
Log Adjusted 38.2% 61.8% -
Points Off/Def 37.0% 63.0% -

Actual: Valley Suns -2 (113-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Cruz Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Yuri Collins * 35 9-19 4-6 0-0 4 9 1 0 3 22 14 -
Jackson Rowe * 34 1-5 0-3 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 2 4 -
Kevin Knox II * 32 7-17 2-6 4-4 10 4 0 1 2 22 18 -
Quinten Post * 31 11-20 4-9 2-4 11 3 0 0 0 30 24 -
Javan Johnson * 26 1-7 1-3 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
Donta Scott 22 3-5 2-4 2-3 5 0 1 0 0 11 12 -
Blake Hinson 16 5-12 2-6 1-1 7 0 1 0 0 13 9 -
Seth Maxwell 16 2-2 0-0 0-1 4 2 0 2 1 4 9 -
Cameron Parker 12 2-5 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 6 5 -
Marcus Burk 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Valley Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TyTy Washington Jr. * 37 12-20 5-9 1-1 9 6 0 2 0 30 27 -
Collin Gillespie * 34 3-13 0-7 3-3 8 10 2 0 3 12 16 -
Jalen Bridges * 33 4-12 1-8 2-3 3 1 0 0 0 12 4 -
Moses Wood * 31 7-13 3-6 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 17 9 -
Mamadi Diakite * 28 5-9 1-3 2-2 7 0 1 1 0 15 15 -
Jaden Shackelford 25 1-8 0-5 2-2 2 1 0 1 0 4 0 -
Tyrese Samuel 19 6-12 1-2 1-1 10 1 0 1 0 15 15 -
David Stockton 16 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 4 3 -
Cassius Stanley 13 1-4 0-2 1-2 5 1 0 0 1 4 5 -

* = starter