Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Cruz Warriors | Valley Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.1% | 66.9% | +3.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valley Suns +17 (130-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Santa Cruz Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuri Collins * | 32 | 7-17 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Knox II * | 29 | 10-16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Jackson Rowe * | 28 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Quinten Post * | 26 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Javan Johnson * | 21 | 2-13 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Blake Hinson | 23 | 3-14 | 1-11 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Seth Maxwell | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Donta Scott | 19 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Cameron Parker | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Marcus Burk | 12 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Joey Calcaterra | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Valley Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Bridges * | 32 | 7-13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| TyTy Washington Jr. * | 31 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Moses Wood * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Collin Gillespie * | 27 | 5-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Mamadi Diakite * | 23 | 7-11 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford | 23 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| David Stockton | 20 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Tyrese Samuel | 20 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Cassius Stanley | 20 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Eric Washington | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Olin Carter III | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kaleb Johnson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter