Model Predictions
| Model | Capital City Go-Go | Birmingham Squadron | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 85.0% | 15.0% | -9.5 | ✗ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Birmingham Squadron +5 (113-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Capital City Go-Go
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruben Nembhard Jr. * | 36 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Jaylen Nowell * | 32 | 8-17 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Leaky Black * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jalen McDaniels * | 21 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Mouhamadou Gueye * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Erik Stevenson | 27 | 7-16 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Michael Foster Jr. | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 17 | - |
| John Butler Jr. | 25 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Taylor Funk | 22 | 4-11 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
Birmingham Squadron
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Reeves * | 37 | 7-15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Keion Brooks Jr. * | 36 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Jalen Crutcher * | 36 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Lester Quinones * | 34 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Josh Oduro * | 26 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Elfrid Payton | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Izaiah Brockington | 16 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Trhae Mitchell | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| E.J. Montgomery | 11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ike Anigbogu | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter