Model Predictions
| Model | Capital City Go-Go | Birmingham Squadron | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.0% | 15.0% | -9.5 | ✓ (25.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Birmingham Squadron -35 (99-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Capital City Go-Go
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruben Nembhard Jr. * | 32 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Jaylen Nowell * | 29 | 9-17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Jalen McDaniels * | 29 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Leaky Black * | 25 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Mouhamadou Gueye * | 25 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Erik Stevenson | 27 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 22 | - |
| John Butler Jr. | 24 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Michael Foster Jr. | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Taylor Funk | 22 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
Birmingham Squadron
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Reeves * | 40 | 14-23 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 14 | - |
| Lester Quinones * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Keion Brooks Jr. * | 25 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Josh Oduro * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Jalen Crutcher * | 22 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Izaiah Brockington | 25 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Trhae Mitchell | 23 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| E.J. Montgomery | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Elfrid Payton | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Galen Robinson Jr. | 12 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Ike Anigbogu | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter