Model Predictions
| Model | Osceola Magic | Noblesville Boom | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.0% | 58.0% | +1.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Noblesville Boom +11 (119-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Osceola Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Slawson * | 38 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Ethan Thompson * | 37 | 7-20 | 5-14 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Mac McClung * | 35 | 10-19 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 8 | - |
| Jarrett Culver * | 33 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Robert Baker * | 24 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Javonte Smart | 21 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Myron Gardner | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Jemerrio Jones | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Patrick Gardner | 12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
Noblesville Boom
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RayJ Dennis * | 41 | 9-22 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Enrique Freeman * | 37 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Johnny Furphy * | 34 | 8-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Quenton Jackson * | 26 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jahlil Okafor * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Mangas | 29 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Dakota Mathias | 25 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Obadiah Noel | 11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Josiah-Jordan James | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter