Model Predictions
| Model | Osceola Magic | Noblesville Boom | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.0% | 58.0% | +1.8 | ✗ (21.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Noblesville Boom -20 (98-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Osceola Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Thompson * | 40 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Mac McClung * | 34 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 22 | - |
| Jarrett Culver * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Jalen Slawson * | 27 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Robert Baker * | 16 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Javonte Smart | 29 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Myron Gardner | 18 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Patrick Gardner | 15 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Jemerrio Jones | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chris Walker | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Noblesville Boom
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah-Jordan James * | 37 | 8-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Quenton Jackson * | 37 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Dakota Mathias * | 36 | 7-12 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Johnny Furphy * | 32 | 1-11 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jahlil Okafor * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Mangas | 23 | 3-11 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Ishmael Lane | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Obadiah Noel | 11 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Cameron McGriff | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| De'Vion Harmon | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Keisei Tominaga | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter