Model Predictions
| Model | Maine Celtics | Noblesville Boom | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.1% | 48.9% | -0.3 | ✗ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Noblesville Boom +3 (118-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maine Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Peterson * | 41 | 7-13 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 16 | - |
| JD Davison * | 36 | 9-20 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Baylor Scheierman * | 36 | 5-14 | 3-11 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Anton Watson * | 31 | 5-11 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Kavion Pippen * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jay Scrubb | 30 | 6-15 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Hason Ward | 27 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| DJ Rodman | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Tristan Enaruna | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Noblesville Boom
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RayJ Dennis * | 41 | 10-16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Enrique Freeman * | 39 | 11-15 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Johnny Furphy * | 38 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Quenton Jackson * | 38 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Jahlil Okafor * | 27 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Dakota Mathias | 31 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kyle Mangas | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Cameron McGriff | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter