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2025-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Herd College Park Skyhawks Spread Result
Elo 29.4% 70.6% -
Bradley-Terry 19.4% 80.6% -
Margin 10.3% 89.7% +11.9 (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 29.9% 70.1% -
Efficiency 10.3% 89.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.3% 85.7% -
Log Adjusted 14.3% 85.7% -
Points Off/Def 23.0% 77.0% -

Actual: College Park Skyhawks +12 (123-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Herd

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Livingston * 34 6-13 2-5 2-2 11 2 0 0 4 18 14 -
Terence Davis * 29 11-16 5-8 1-1 5 3 1 0 4 28 17 -
AJ Johnson * 26 5-8 4-5 1-1 1 3 1 0 2 16 11 -
Tyler Smith * 25 2-7 2-6 0-0 6 2 0 1 1 6 7 -
Liam Robbins * 21 2-8 0-3 1-2 8 4 0 1 2 6 9 -
Henry Ellenson 22 2-9 1-4 2-2 7 3 0 0 2 7 6 -
Justin Moore 21 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 4 2 -2 -
Stephen Thompson 21 5-9 3-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 13 9 -
Ibou Badji 17 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 6 1 6 8 -
Jack Gohlke 12 3-4 3-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 9 8 -
Sahvir Wheeler 7 0-1 0-0 0-1 1 3 0 0 0 0 3 -

College Park Skyhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Daeqwon Plowden * 34 4-11 2-7 2-2 3 0 0 2 1 14 7 -
Kevon Harris * 31 8-13 3-6 4-5 5 3 1 1 3 25 19 -
Keaton Wallace * 30 9-15 3-6 0-1 5 7 2 0 2 21 18 -
Tony Bradley * 27 6-9 0-1 1-1 9 0 1 2 1 14 16 -
Dwight Murray, Jr. * 24 3-9 0-2 0-0 4 4 2 0 0 6 7 -
Nikola Djurisic 22 2-7 0-3 1-1 2 9 1 1 0 7 13 -
Jordan Bowden 20 5-14 2-6 1-1 3 3 0 1 0 14 7 -
Mouhamed Gueye 19 7-9 4-6 2-3 2 1 3 1 0 22 20 -
David Singleton 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
Joey Hauser 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 2 -

* = starter