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2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Santa Cruz Warriors Iowa Wolves Spread Result
Elo 63.9% 36.1% -
Bradley-Terry 46.2% 53.8% -
Margin 38.4% 61.6% +2.6 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% -
Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% -
Log Adjusted 41.4% 58.6% -
Points Off/Def 40.7% 59.3% -

Actual: Iowa Wolves -6 (130-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Cruz Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jackson Rowe * 37 3-6 1-3 0-0 6 3 0 1 0 7 11 -
Yuri Collins * 35 6-9 0-1 5-6 5 17 0 0 6 17 24 -
Kevin Knox II * 34 14-17 6-7 3-3 6 3 2 1 4 39 30 -
Quinten Post * 32 10-15 2-5 3-3 16 3 0 2 6 27 27 -
Javan Johnson * 30 7-12 1-6 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 15 5 -
Blake Hinson 18 4-10 4-8 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 12 3 -
Donta Scott 16 3-6 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 3 -
Seth Maxwell 15 3-5 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 0 1 7 5 -
Cameron Parker 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 4 0 0 0 4 10 -
Marcus Burk 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Iowa Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevor Keels * 44 9-20 3-8 1-2 3 7 0 0 2 22 10 -
El Ellis * 42 10-19 2-6 1-1 2 6 2 0 0 23 14 -
Jaylen Clark * 39 10-17 6-9 4-5 7 4 4 0 1 31 28 -
Nojel Eastern * 36 4-7 1-2 2-3 3 3 2 1 1 13 14 -
Jesse Edwards * 25 7-11 0-0 2-5 7 0 2 1 2 18 15 -
Jaedon LeDee 20 3-7 1-3 2-2 4 1 1 0 0 11 10 -
Walter Ellis 13 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 2 -
William Baker 11 4-7 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 9 3 -
Martez Brown 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter