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2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Austin Spurs Raptors 905 Spread Result
Elo 58.3% 41.7% -
Bradley-Terry 55.0% 45.0% -
Margin 79.0% 21.0% -7.3 (23.7 off)
Pythagorean 59.1% 40.9% -
Efficiency 78.7% 21.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.9% 26.1% -
Log Adjusted 73.9% 26.1% -
Points Off/Def 63.8% 36.2% -

Actual: Raptors 905 -31 (84-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Ingram * 34 7-15 2-5 3-5 13 6 0 0 1 24 27 -
Kyle Rode * 34 3-11 1-8 1-3 1 0 1 0 3 9 -3 -
Quinton Rose * 29 4-12 3-7 3-4 6 4 4 0 0 16 18 -
Isaiah Miller * 29 8-18 1-4 0-1 10 1 2 1 3 17 10 -
Osayi Osifo * 26 2-2 0-0 0-1 11 2 2 1 1 4 17 -
Jameer Nelson Jr. 21 5-13 2-6 7-8 1 1 4 1 2 21 13 -
Ibrahima Diallo 21 1-3 0-0 0-1 10 0 1 2 0 2 12 -
Malachi Flynn 19 6-13 2-6 4-5 2 3 2 0 1 22 15 -
Luke Avdalovic 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Parker Van Dyke 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Raptors 905

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamison Battle * 34 5-7 2-2 0-1 7 2 1 0 2 12 13 -
Jonathan Mogbo * 29 4-8 0-0 0-1 12 2 2 2 4 8 14 -
A.J. Lawson * 28 4-13 0-4 2-2 2 4 3 1 3 12 6 -
Jared Rhoden * 22 1-8 0-3 0-0 5 0 0 2 3 2 -2 -
Frank Kaminsky * 19 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
Kennedy Chandler 29 4-10 0-2 3-3 4 8 1 0 4 14 13 -
Ulrich Chomche 24 5-7 0-1 1-1 8 1 0 0 3 12 11 -
Eugene Omoruyi 20 4-7 1-3 2-5 4 0 0 0 4 12 5 -
Charlie Brown Jr. 15 1-3 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 4 2 -
Tyreke Key 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Tylor Perry 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Quincy Guerrier 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter