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2025-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Herd Maine Celtics Spread Result
Elo 22.4% 77.6% -
Bradley-Terry 21.9% 78.1% -
Margin 13.7% 86.3% +10.1 (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 31.7% 68.3% -
Efficiency 14.7% 85.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.9% 82.1% -
Log Adjusted 17.9% 82.1% -
Points Off/Def 25.9% 74.1% -

Actual: Maine Celtics +15 (105-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Herd

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terence Davis * 27 6-14 2-9 0-0 8 4 1 0 3 14 10 -
Chris Livingston * 26 4-9 1-3 2-3 4 2 1 0 3 12 7 -
Tyler Smith * 24 4-10 0-2 2-2 4 0 0 2 0 11 7 -
Ibou Badji * 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 1 2 4 -
Sahvir Wheeler * 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 0 2 -
Justin Moore 35 3-7 3-5 1-1 4 0 3 1 1 11 11 -
Jack Gohlke 24 3-8 3-8 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 9 2 -
Stephen Thompson 23 3-9 1-4 1-2 7 2 0 0 1 8 7 -
Henry Ellenson 21 1-7 1-5 1-1 6 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
AJ Johnson 19 2-8 1-5 2-2 1 3 0 0 2 9 3 -
Liam Robbins 12 2-5 1-3 2-2 1 2 0 1 0 9 8 -

Maine Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tristan Enaruna * 31 2-6 0-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
Baylor Scheierman * 29 9-18 5-12 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 23 11 -
JD Davison * 28 7-15 0-3 1-2 2 5 1 0 3 16 6 -
Jordan Schakel * 26 4-8 2-5 0-0 8 2 2 0 1 10 13 -
Kavion Pippen * 12 1-1 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 0 0 2 6 -
Jay Scrubb 28 7-17 2-8 1-2 8 3 2 0 2 17 11 -
Hason Ward 26 4-4 1-1 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 9 8 -
Ron Harper Jr. 25 5-11 2-7 3-3 8 1 1 0 2 17 14 -
Anton Watson 24 3-5 0-1 1-1 4 3 0 0 0 7 9 -
DJ Rodman 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 0 4 -

* = starter