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2025-01-01

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Wolves Austin Spurs Spread Result
Elo 23.0% 77.0% -
Bradley-Terry 43.4% 56.6% -
Margin 18.1% 81.9% +8.3 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% -
Efficiency 23.8% 76.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.9% 74.1% -
Log Adjusted 25.8% 74.2% -
Points Off/Def 28.6% 71.4% -

Actual: Austin Spurs +19 (121-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
El Ellis * 42 11-20 3-8 1-2 8 5 0 2 4 27 18 -
Trevor Keels * 37 3-14 1-6 0-1 3 4 1 0 4 7 -3 -
Jaylen Clark * 36 5-10 2-6 3-3 5 2 2 1 1 17 16 -
Nojel Eastern * 27 3-6 0-1 1-1 5 3 1 1 2 7 9 -
Jesse Edwards * 21 4-6 0-0 2-3 5 2 0 0 2 12 11 -
Jaedon LeDee 16 2-11 0-1 0-0 8 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
Walter Ellis 12 3-4 2-3 1-1 3 1 0 0 0 11 11 -
Amari Bailey 10 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Kok Yat 10 0-2 0-1 1-1 1 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
Sy Chatman 9 2-5 0-0 0-2 5 1 1 0 1 4 5 -
Martez Brown 8 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 2 3 -
William Baker 6 4-5 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 9 5 -

Austin Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Quinton Rose * 34 3-13 1-6 2-3 3 8 3 2 1 11 13 -
Harrison Ingram * 34 7-11 2-4 0-0 13 7 1 1 3 16 24 -
Isaiah Miller * 27 7-17 1-4 1-2 9 8 1 1 1 16 17 -
Osayi Osifo * 26 5-6 0-0 0-3 4 0 2 2 0 10 12 -
Riley Minix * 24 6-9 2-4 2-2 5 1 1 3 0 17 18 -
Sidy Cissoko 27 7-13 0-3 0-1 4 2 0 3 2 14 8 -
Kyle Rode 24 8-12 7-10 1-1 2 4 0 0 1 25 18 -
Ibrahima Diallo 14 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 5 0 3 10 -
Luke Avdalovic 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 4 -
Jameer Nelson Jr. 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 4 3 -
Parker Van Dyke 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter