Model Predictions
| Model | Sioux Falls Skyforce | Valley Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.6% | 36.4% | -3.1 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valley Suns -17 (104-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sioux Falls Skyforce
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Warren * | 41 | 9-20 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Zyon Pullin * | 38 | 14-17 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 43 | - |
| Keshad Johnson * | 34 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Nassir Little * | 29 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Malik Williams * | 20 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Caleb Daniels | 32 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Tre King | 16 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Warren Washington | 14 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Tyler Polley | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Christian Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Valley Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moses Wood * | 34 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Bridges * | 30 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford * | 30 | 2-13 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| David Stockton * | 27 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Mamadi Diakite * | 17 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Paul Watson | 28 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Tyrese Samuel | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Olin Carter III | 20 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Cassius Stanley | 14 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Kaleb Johnson | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Eric Washington | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter